Agency over AI? Allan Dafoe on Technological Determinism & DeepMind's Safety Plans, from 80000 Hours

Agency over AI? Allan Dafoe on Technological Determinism & DeepMind's Safety Plans, from 80000 Hours

Join us in a deep dive with Allan Dafoe, Director of Frontier Safety and Governance at Google DeepMind.


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Join us in a deep dive with Allan Dafoe, Director of Frontier Safety and Governance at Google DeepMind. Allan sheds light on the challenges of evaluating AI capabilities, structural risks, and the future of AI governance. Discover how AI technologies can transform sectors like education, healthcare, and sustainability, alongside the potential risks and necessary safety measures. This episode provides a comprehensive look at the intersection of technology, safety, and governance in the rapidly evolving AI landscape.

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CHAPTERS:
(00:00) About the Episode
(06:40) Introduction to Technological Determinism
(07:29) Interview with Alan De Foe
(08:16) Roles and Responsibilities at Google DeepMind
(11:12) Transition to Google DeepMind
(16:11) Technological Determinism and Historical Impact (Part 1)
(20:54) Sponsors: SafeBase | Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI)
(23:31) Technological Determinism and Historical Impact (Part 2)
(27:28) Constructivist Critique and Technological Politics (Part 1)
(40:48) Sponsors: Shopify | NetSuite
(43:36) Constructivist Critique and Technological Politics (Part 2)
(51:22) Japan's Isolation and the Arrival of Commodore Perry
(52:51) The Meiji Restoration and Japan's Modernization
(55:25) Technological Determinism and Differential Development
(59:27) Challenges of Predicting Technological Paths
(01:02:40) The Importance of AI Safety and Alignment
(01:05:59) Cooperative AI: Beyond Alignment
(01:09:56) The Role of AI in Global Coordination
(01:15:48) Bargaining and Cooperation in AI Systems
(01:30:29) The Future of Cooperative AI Research
(01:32:27) Understanding Agent Communication and Cooperation
(01:33:10) Commitment Problems in AI Cooperation
(01:33:52) Challenges and Solutions in AI Commitment
(01:34:39) Rationalist Approach to Cooperation
(01:36:39) Potential Downsides of Cooperative AI
(01:37:41) Exclusion and Antisocial Cooperation
(01:44:43) General Intelligence and AI Development
(02:00:45) Evaluating AI Models for Dangerous Capabilities
(02:14:12) Human Interaction in Model Evaluations
(02:14:50) Evaluations in Real-World Settings
(02:15:27) Cybersecurity and Model Capabilities
(02:17:12) Challenges in Model Evaluations
(02:18:14) Staged Deployment and Safety Measures
(02:19:33) Debate on Open Weight Models
(02:21:37) Forecasting AI Capabilities
(02:27:13) Frontier Safety Framework
(02:30:59) Structural Risks and Governance
(02:35:47) Democratic Legitimacy in AI Development
(02:44:26) Proliferation and Governance of AI Models
(02:50:16) Opportunities in AI Applications
(03:01:07) Outro

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