Is an AI Arms Race Inevitable? with Robert Wright of Nonzero Newsletter & Podcast

Is an AI Arms Race Inevitable? with Robert Wright of Nonzero Newsletter & Podcast

In this episode of The Cognitive Revolution, Nathan explores the complex intersection of AI development and international relations with Robert Wright, publisher of the Nonzero Newsletter.


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In this episode of The Cognitive Revolution, Nathan explores the complex intersection of AI development and international relations with Robert Wright, publisher of the Nonzero Newsletter. They examine the growing militarization of AI, US-China relations, and the concerning trajectory of what Wright calls "the chip war." Drawing from Nathan's recent experience at The Curve conference and an AI wargame simulation, they discuss the risks of an AI arms race and search for alternative paths to avoid catastrophic conflict between global powers. Join us for this crucial conversation about the future of AI governance and international cooperation.
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CHAPTERS:
(00:00:00) About the Episode
(00:04:14) Introducing Nathan LeBenz
(00:04:58) AI Surrenders to Military
(00:07:03) Dario Amadei's Essay
(00:09:17) China Hawkism in AI
(00:11:04) The Upside of AI
(00:13:58) Decisive Strategic Advantage
(00:16:29) Getting Things Done in DC
(00:19:19) Sponsors: Notion | SelectQuote
(00:22:12) Subsidizing Chip Manufacturing
(00:27:37) Export Controls on China
(00:31:19) AI Learning from Reality
(00:33:47) AI Hitting a Wall?
(00:36:17) Chinese AI Development
(00:38:24) Sponsors: Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) | 80,000 Hours
(00:41:04) Ilya Sutskever's Concerns
(00:46:05) A Common Challenge to All
(00:47:47) The Threat of Destabilization
(00:53:57) The Need for Benign AI
(00:59:54) AI with Western Values
(01:12:37) Finding Ways Around the Ban
(01:19:39) Joint Custody Island
(01:21:33) A Different Basis
(01:28:31) Domestic Political Incentives
(01:35:26) The Risk of Being Labeled
(01:43:38) Playing the Safety Teams
(01:53:12) The AGI Threshold
(01:57:01) Replicating Human Expertise
(02:01:13) Call for Ideas
(02:03:45) Outro

SOCIAL LINKS:
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